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US crypto reserve may enhance Bitcoin market cap by $460B — Analysis


Making a strategic cryptocurrency reserve in the US may enhance Bitcoin’s (BTC) market capitalization by roughly 25%, or roughly $460 billion, in line with an evaluation by Sygnum Financial institution shared with Cointelegraph. 

US President Donald Trump’s plans for a nationwide crypto stockpile, together with comparable proposals throughout dozens of US states, may set off a multibillion-dollar shopping for spree with a 20x multiplier impact on Bitcoin’s worth, in line with Sygnum, a crypto asset supervisor.

“As a result of the liquid provide of bitcoin could be very small […] bigger inflows trigger upward worth shocks,” Katalin Tischhauser, Sygnum’s analysis head, informed Cointelegraph. 

Tischhauser added that federal or state authorities Bitcoin shopping for could be “more likely to set off one other wave of allocations from institutional buyers as nicely,” to not point out different international locations’ governments. 

Institutional capital flows are already exerting a “multiplier impact” on BTC’s spot worth, with each $1 billion price of web inflows into spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) driving an roughly 3-6% worth transfer, Sygnum said in its Crypto Market Outlook 2025 report. 

Institutional inflows are likely to drive worth for Bitcoin. Supply: Sygnum Bank

Deliberate crypto reserve

On March 2, Trump confirmed his dedication to making a US crypto stockpile holding Bitcoin, in addition to altcoins comparable to Ether (ETH) and Solana (SOL), amongst others.

Crypto markets surged following Trump’s bulletins, however surrendered those gains later in the week as macroeconomic unease and a looming commerce battle took middle stage. 

Trump has endorsed the concept of a nationwide crypto pool since July 2024, when US Senator Cynthia Lummis pitched the BITCOIN Act, proposing a US reserve particularly for Bitcoin. Greater than half of US states have fielded proposals to create comparable reserves at a state-level. 

State Bitcoin reserve payments. Supply: VanEck

Nonetheless, progress has been uneven. 5 states already rejected crypto reserve plans, Tischhauser mentioned. In the meantime, making a federal crypto stockpile would presumably require Congressional approval, a prolonged and unsure course of. 

“[T]he market at present charges the chance [of a national Bitcoin stockpile] comparatively low” due to challenges together with complicated messaging and authorized hurdles, Katalin Tischhauser, Sygnum’s analysis head, informed Cointelegraph. 

“[A]ny constructive shock could be bullish for the bitcoin worth,” Tischhauser mentioned. 

The White Home intends to disclose extra particulars concerning the plans throughout a March 7 crypto summit, in line with US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick. 

He urged that Bitcoin may have a particular standing within the US crypto reserve, which can embody ETH, Solana, XRP (XRP) and Cardano (ADA). 

“That stage of assist coming from the administration is bullish for positive however calling it a strategic reserve has created plenty of confusion,” Tischhauser mentioned. 

“With the inclusion of the opposite tokens, I feel we're speaking a couple of proposed direct funding by the US authorities within the business.”

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