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Arthur Hayes repeats $1M BTC worth wager


Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins are a no brainer wager within the present macro local weather, Arthur Hayes says.

In a post on X (previously Twitter) on Dec. 14, the previous CEO of change BitMEX mentioned that traders have “no excuse” to brief crypto.

$1 million Bitcoin nonetheless in play in 2024 “nice pivot”

Going lengthy crypto is the important thing to success as markets wager on america Federal Reserve reducing rates of interest subsequent 12 months, Hayes argues.

On Dec. 13, on the newest assembly of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Fed policymakers voted to proceed a freeze on rate of interest hikes.

Whereas broadly anticipated, a subsequent speech and press convention with Chair Jerome Powell sparked speak of impending price cuts — an occasion often known as a “pivot” in coverage.

“Whereas we imagine that our coverage price is probably going at or close to its peak for this tightening cycle, the financial system has shocked forecasters in some ways because the pandemic, and ongoing progress towards our 2 % inflation goal is just not assured,” Powell mentioned.

With that, market consensus over what may occur on the subsequent FOMC assembly in January started to diverge. Per knowledge from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, the percentages of a minimize coming early in 2024 stood at 18.6% on the time of writing.

Fed goal price possibilities chart. Supply: CME Group

Fed choice day was adopted by mainstream media consideration specializing in the rising optimism that U.S. financial coverage would start to unwind after an unprecedented price tightening cycle.

Reposting one such story, Hayes was in no two minds about what the knock-on impact for liquidity-sensitive crypto can be.

“At this level, there isn’t a excuse to not be lengthy crypto,” a part of his publish said.

“What number of extra occasions should they let you know that the fiat in your pocket is a grimy piece of trash.”

Hayes additional reiterated a longstanding $1 million BTC price prediction because of macro tides eroding the worth of nationwide currencies.

BTC worth dips $1,500 on Ledger safety woes

BTC/USD traded at round $42,500 on the time of writing, per knowledge from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView, after flash volatility on the day’s Wall Road open.

Associated: Bitcoin bulls eye BTC price comeback as cash inflows echo late 2020

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Supply: TradingView

This took away positive factors seen in a single day, these constituting a rebound from a 7.5% dip earlier within the week — Bitcoin’s biggest single-day downtick of 2023 up to now.

The transfer accompanied news of a security compromise affecting decentralized functions, or DApps, utilizing the connector characteristic of {hardware} pockets Ledger.

“Anyone simply had loads of enjoyable liquidating $BTC longs earlier than worth inevitably finally ends up again in the identical place,” dealer, analyst and podcast host Scott Melker reacted.

Based on the most recent figures from statistics useful resource CoinGlass, complete BTC lengthy liquidations for Dec. 14 remained modest at simply over $20 million — a fraction of the Dec. 11 tally of $126 million.

Bitcoin liquidations chart (screenshot). Supply: CoinGlass

This text doesn’t comprise funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes threat, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a call.